RESEARCH & INSIGHTS

16 OctCOTW: The September CPI Report

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in September, bringing the year-over-year increase to 2.4%. This marks a slight decline from the 2.5% annual rate

10 OctSeptember 2024 Cartoon: Rate Cuts and Deficits and Elections, Oh My!

September 2024 Cartoon: Rate Cuts and Deficits and Elections, Oh My!

7 OctCOTW: Inflation and Rate Cut Expectations

With both core and headline inflation above the official 2% target for over three years, financial conditions at their loosest since May 2022, and the

5 Oct3Q, 2024 Asset Class Return Quilts

The quarter was strong for most risky assets, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors and asset classes such as small caps, utilities, and REITs, helped by the

30 SepCOTW: Profitable Small Caps

U.S. small-cap stocks have performed well, gaining 11% year-to-date. However, the market remains selective: only profitable small-cap stocks are doing well, while unprofitable companies continue

18 SepCOTW: Base Effects

Base effects impact how an inflation print appears. For example, if the 12-months-ago print had unusually high inflation, this year’s inflation rate might seem lower,

10 SepAugust 2024 Cartoon: Those Lazy-Hazy-Crazy Days of Summer

August 2024 Cartoon: Those Lazy-Hazy-Crazy Days of Summer

5 SepCOTW: Gold Performance in September

Gold prices historically experience a phenomenon known as the "September curse," which refers to a consistent decline in gold prices during this month. This trend

26 AugCOTW: Rising Rate Cut Expectations

As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept interest rates unchanged at the July 31 FOMC meeting. However, minutes from the meeting, which

13 AugCOTW: July Jobs Report

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricane Beryl, which formed on July 8, had no significant impact on the national employment and unemployment data

10 AugJuly 2024 Cartoon: Passing the Baton

July 2024 Cartoon: Passing the Baton

5 AugCOTW: The Yen Carry Trade

The carry trade strategy involves borrowing Japanese yen at a 0% interest rate and investing in higher-yielding assets abroad to earn a profit.

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