SUMMARY
- The Trump administration’s trade policy in 2025 has been defined by broad, aggressive tariffs and ongoing negotiations with key trading partners.
- The 90-day tariff pause, announced in the days following ‘Liberation Day’ on April 2, is set to expire on Wednesday. Over the weekend, the administration announced that any country without a finalized trade deal will be notified by noon today of its new, higher tariff rate, effective August 1.
- Since February, the U.S. has collected $80 billion in tariff revenue. Fiscal year-to-date revenue has reached $120 billion—already a record high with four months remaining.
- According to the Penn-Wharton Budget Model, annual tariff revenue could exceed $200 billion. This revenue stream could help offset the cost of extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), a key provision of the “Big Beautiful Bill” signed into law on Friday, July 4.
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